Nightmare Scenario
Get ready for a wild ride. Yesterday news came that Hezbollah attacked and damaged an Israeli ship with a remote drone. Now comes news of even more ominous news, the attack was not carried out with a drone but an anti-ship missile. Now I wonder where they acquired that missile from.
An IDF investigation into the attack showed that Hizbullah had fired an Iranian-made missile at the vessel from the shores of Lebanon, said Brig. Gen. Ido Nehushtan.
A senior IDF intelligence official says that Iran has approximately 100 soldiers in Lebanon and that they helped Hizbullah hit an Israel Navy ship with an anti-ship missile.
It was first thought that an explosives-laden UAV caused the blast.
“We can confirm that it was hit by an Iranian-made missile launched by Hizbullah. We see this as very profound fingerprint of Iranian involvement in Hizbullah,” Nehushtan said in an interview with The Associated Press.
This bit of information is a great cause of concern which is certain to escalate tensions between the two countries. A couple of days ago, BlackFive posted his concerns of a worse case scenario. I had not thought much about it until the news of the Iranian missile attack an IDF ship. Below is his worst case scenario.
It is well known that Lebanon is a client state of Syria and further, that Syria is a client state of Iran. There are reports that Iranian defense officials are now in Damascus possibly pulling the strings on a coordinated assault of Israel by Hamas and Hizbullah. Israel has already buzzed Syria’s dictator’s house, and the leader of the “militant wing” (is there a non-militant wing?) of Hamas is also under the protection of the Syrians in Damascus. If you think that this is a potential nightmare scenario for Israel and the US, it gets worse.
Remember North Korea? They are very close with the Iranians as well, and it is postulated by intel sources that they have been sharing nuclear and missile technology for the past two years. KJI has no cash since we froze most of his assets in foreign banks for running a massive US currency counterfeiting operation, and the Iranians are wallowing in cash and hate the US as much as NK.
So what if this entire international drama: NK missile launches and Hamas/Hizbullah kidnapping of Israeli soldiers is designed to initiate 2 major and geographically separated wars for the US? If Israel and Syria end up mixing it up, the Syrians could invoke their mutual security pact with Iran. In order to defend Syria, Iran would have to traverse Iraq, and then… it is on. Meanwhile, if the Norkos decide to re-unify the Korean Pennisula at the same time, we would be in quite a difficult position.
So lets look at the mess. We have troops in Iraq and Afghanistan. We can not let Israel fall to Syria and Iran so if we help them, these countries will most likely send suicide bombers to destabilize these two countries. And then add in the possibility of North Korea who might be tempted to keep us busy at the DMZ. That is truly a nightmare scenario. BlackFive does not think we can count on NATO for any help. I hope he is wrong. The UN will certainly not be any help either.
If BlackFive is wrong, no big deal. If he is right, get ready for a wild ride.
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